billHR4911Tuesday, October 29, 2019Analyzed

CONNECT Act

Neutral
Impact4/10

Summary

The POLL Act mandates states to reduce voter wait times to under 30 minutes and provides federal funding for election resources. This creates a new market for election technology and services, benefiting companies that provide voting systems, poll worker management, and related IT infrastructure.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The POLL Act mandates states to reduce voter wait times to under 30 minutes, creating a new market for election infrastructure upgrades.
  • 2.Federal funding will flow to states via the Election Assistance Commission (EAC) for procurement of voting systems, software, and services.
  • 3.Technology companies providing election management software, IT services, and telecommunications infrastructure stand to gain from increased government contracts.

Market Implications

This legislation creates a direct demand for election-related technology and services. Companies like Microsoft ($MSFT), Google ($GOOGL), Amazon ($AMZN), IBM ($IBM), HP ($HPQ), and Xerox ($XRX) will see increased opportunities for government contracts related to software, cloud services, hardware, and document management. Telecommunications providers such as Verizon ($VZ), AT&T ($T), and T-Mobile ($TMUS) will benefit from enhanced connectivity requirements at polling locations. The impact on these companies will be positive, driving increased revenue from government sector sales.

Full Analysis

The People Over Long Lines Act (POLL Act) directly amends the Help America Vote Act of 2002. It mandates that states ensure voters wait no more than 30 minutes at any polling place during federal elections. This is not a suggestion; it is a requirement with a private right of action for voters experiencing longer waits. The bill also directs the Election Assistance Commission (EAC) to provide payments to states to achieve this goal. This creates an immediate demand for states to upgrade their election infrastructure, including voting machines, voter registration systems, and poll worker training and management. The money trail for the POLL Act flows from the federal government, specifically through the EAC, to eligible states. States will then procure necessary equipment and services to comply with the 30-minute wait time mandate. This includes new voting machines, electronic poll books, voter check-in systems, and potentially communication infrastructure for polling places. Companies that provide election technology and services, such as voting machine manufacturers and election management software providers, stand to gain. Additionally, IT service providers and telecommunications companies could benefit from contracts related to upgrading polling place connectivity and data management. The bill does not specify an appropriation amount, but the mandate creates a funding obligation. Historically, federal mandates on state election administration have led to increased spending on election infrastructure. The Help America Vote Act (HAVA) of 2002, which this bill amends, provided $3.9 billion to states to replace punch card and lever voting machines, establish statewide voter registration databases, and improve election administration. Following HAVA's passage, companies like Election Systems & Software (ES&S) and Dominion Voting Systems, though privately held, saw significant increases in demand for their products. Publicly traded companies involved in the broader technology and government services sectors, such as Microsoft ($MSFT) for software, Google ($GOOGL) for cloud services, Amazon ($AMZN) for cloud infrastructure, IBM ($IBM) for enterprise solutions, HP ($HPQ) for hardware, and Xerox ($XRX) for printing and document management, could see increased government contracts for related services. Telecommunications providers like Verizon ($VZ), AT&T ($T), and T-Mobile ($TMUS) could benefit from enhanced connectivity requirements at polling locations. Specific winners include companies providing election technology and IT services to state and local governments. While major voting machine manufacturers are private, their increased sales will drive demand for components and services from publicly traded tech companies. Losers are not directly identified, as the bill focuses on expanding resources. The next step is for the bill to be considered by the House Committee on House Administration. If it passes committee, it moves to a full House vote. The timeline for passage is uncertain, but the mandate creates a clear market opportunity once enacted. The impact score is 4 because this bill creates a new, albeit niche, market for election technology and services. It directly impacts state budgets and procurement, leading to increased spending in specific technology and government services sectors. The lack of a specified appropriation amount and the early legislative stage prevent a higher score, but the clear mandate ensures a market shift upon passage.

Market Impact Score

4/10
Minimal ImpactModerateMajor Market Event